Werder Bremen (W) vs VfB Stuttgart (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Werder Bremen (W)

VfB Stuttgart (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.85 DRAW 24.9% 3.65 AWAY 25.9% 3.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

VfB Stuttgart (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Werder Bremen (W) VfB Stuttgart (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Werder Bremen (W) VfB Stuttgart (W)

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

VfB Stuttgart (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Werder Bremen (W) VfB Stuttgart (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours VfB Stuttgart (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Werder Bremen (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

VfB Stuttgart (W) ↓ -0.04 (-1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.