Spartans vs Dundee B

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Spartans

Dundee B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.0% DRAW 10.1% AWAY 6.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.9% 1.17 DRAW 11.9% 7.90 AWAY 7.1% 13.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Spartans relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 84.0% win probability, compared with 80.9% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Spartans has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartans Dundee B

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Spartans, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartans Dundee B

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.8

Spartans has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartans Dundee B

The combined recent performance profile favours Spartans.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spartans ↑ +0.02 (+2.1%)

Dundee B ↑ +0.20 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.