Spartans vs Hamilton

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

Spartans

Hamilton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 47.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.0% 3.50 DRAW 21.8% 4.33 AWAY 51.1% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Spartans clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.2% win probability, compared with 27.0% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Spartans

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartans Hamilton

Shots 17.5 · On target 9.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Spartans, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartans Hamilton

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Hamilton has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartans Hamilton

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spartans ↑ +0.40 (+12.9%)

Hamilton ↑ +0.12 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.