Annan Athletic vs Motherwell B

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Annan Athletic

Motherwell B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.2% DRAW 14.6% AWAY 9.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.2% 1.34 DRAW 16.3% 6.00 AWAY 10.5% 9.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Annan Athletic relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.2% win probability, compared with 73.2% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Annan Athletic has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Annan Athletic Motherwell B

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Annan Athletic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Annan Athletic Motherwell B

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Annan Athletic Motherwell B

The combined recent performance profile favours Annan Athletic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Annan Athletic ↓ -0.25 (-15.8%)

Motherwell B ↑ +5.22 (+126.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.