Elgin vs Fraserburgh

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Elgin

Fraserburgh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.6% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.5% 1.46 DRAW 19.1% 5.00 AWAY 15.4% 6.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Elgin

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Elgin Fraserburgh

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Elgin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Elgin Fraserburgh

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Fraserburgh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Elgin Fraserburgh

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Elgin ↓ -0.21 (-12.4%)

Fraserburgh ↑ +3.02 (+94.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.