Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

Cove Rangers

Dumbarton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 18.4% AWAY 17.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% 1.59 DRAW 20.2% 4.75 AWAY 19.5% 4.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Cove Rangers clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 60.3% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Cove Rangers has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cove Rangers Dumbarton

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Cove Rangers, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cove Rangers Dumbarton

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Cove Rangers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cove Rangers Dumbarton

The combined recent performance profile favours Cove Rangers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cove Rangers ↑ +0.09 (+5.9%)

Dumbarton ↑ +0.91 (+22.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.