Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock B

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Cowdenbeath

Kilmarnock B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 34.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.41 DRAW 25.1% 3.80 AWAY 35.3% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cowdenbeath

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock B

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Cowdenbeath, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock B

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Kilmarnock B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Cowdenbeath ↑ +0.41 (+20.5%)

Kilmarnock B ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.