Lusail vs Al-Wakrah SC

04 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Lusail

Al-Wakrah SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 56.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% 4.54 DRAW 23.1% 4.11 AWAY 56.0% 1.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Wakrah SC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lusail Al-Wakrah SC

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Al-Wakrah SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lusail Al-Wakrah SC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lusail Al-Wakrah SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lusail ↑ +0.34 (+8.0%)

Al-Wakrah SC ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.