Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Benfica U23

Vizela U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.80 DRAW 24.6% 3.90 AWAY 22.1% 4.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Benfica U23

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Benfica U23 Vizela U23

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Benfica U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Benfica U23 Vizela U23

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Vizela U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Benfica U23 Vizela U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Benfica U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Benfica U23 ↑ +0.24 (+15.1%)

Vizela U23 ↓ -0.40 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.