UD Leiria U23 vs Benfica U23

14 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

UD Leiria U23

Benfica U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 43.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% 3.40 DRAW 27.4% 3.57 AWAY 43.7% 2.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Benfica U23

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UD Leiria U23 Benfica U23

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Benfica U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UD Leiria U23 Benfica U23

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UD Leiria U23 Benfica U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UD Leiria U23 ↑ +0.73 (+27.3%)

Benfica U23 ↓ -0.09 (-3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.