Sporting U23 vs Academico Viseu U23

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Sporting U23

Academico Viseu U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 38.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 3.10 DRAW 27.4% 3.50 AWAY 41.7% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sporting U23 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.7% win probability, compared with 30.9% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Academico Viseu U23

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting U23 Academico Viseu U23

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting U23 Academico Viseu U23

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Sporting U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting U23 Academico Viseu U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sporting U23 ↑ +0.27 (+9.6%)

Academico Viseu U23 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.