SC Farense U23 vs Leixoes U23

15 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

SC Farense U23

Leixoes U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.34 DRAW 28.1% 3.50 AWAY 29.8% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: SC Farense U23

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Farense U23 Leixoes U23

Shots 7.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Farense U23 Leixoes U23

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

SC Farense U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Farense U23 Leixoes U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

SC Farense U23 = (0.0%)

Leixoes U23 ↑ +0.59 (+21.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.