Gil Vicente U23 vs Portimonense U23

15 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Gil Vicente U23

Portimonense U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% 1.81 DRAW 24.7% 3.88 AWAY 22.3% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gil Vicente U23

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gil Vicente U23 Portimonense U23

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Gil Vicente U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gil Vicente U23 Portimonense U23

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Portimonense U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gil Vicente U23 Portimonense U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gil Vicente U23 ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

Portimonense U23 ↑ +0.80 (+22.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.