Famalicao U23 vs Rio Ave U23

15 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Famalicao U23

Rio Ave U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% 2.25 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 31.4% 3.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Rio Ave U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Famalicao U23 Rio Ave U23

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Rio Ave U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Famalicao U23 Rio Ave U23

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Famalicao U23 Rio Ave U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Rio Ave U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Famalicao U23 ↑ +0.18 (+8.7%)

Rio Ave U23 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.