Worcester City vs Banbury

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Worcester City

Banbury

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.33 DRAW 29.0% 3.25 AWAY 30.7% 3.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Worcester City

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Worcester City Banbury

Shots 5.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Worcester City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Worcester City Banbury

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Banbury has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Worcester City Banbury

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Worcester City ↑ +0.41 (+21.4%)

Banbury ↓ -0.47 (-13.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.