Stratford Town vs Bromsgrove

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Stratford Town

Bromsgrove

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 53.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.0% 3.95 DRAW 24.9% 3.80 AWAY 51.1% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bromsgrove relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.9% win probability, compared with 51.1% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bromsgrove has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stratford Town Bromsgrove

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Bromsgrove, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stratford Town Bromsgrove

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Bromsgrove has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stratford Town Bromsgrove

The combined recent performance profile favours Bromsgrove.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Stratford Town ↑ +0.55 (+16.2%)

Bromsgrove = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.