Redditch vs Racing Club Warwick

21 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Redditch

Racing Club Warwick

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.98 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 26.7% 3.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Redditch clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.7% win probability, compared with 47.3% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Redditch

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Redditch Racing Club Warwick

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Redditch, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Redditch Racing Club Warwick

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Redditch Racing Club Warwick

The combined recent performance profile favours Redditch.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Redditch ↑ +0.21 (+11.9%)

Racing Club Warwick ↓ -0.33 (-8.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.