Portimonense U23 vs Felgueiras 1932 U23

08 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Portimonense U23

Felgueiras 1932 U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.05 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 27.9% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Felgueiras 1932 U23

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portimonense U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Felgueiras 1932 U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portimonense U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portimonense U23 Felgueiras 1932 U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Felgueiras 1932 U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Portimonense U23 ↑ +0.08 (+4.1%)

Felgueiras 1932 U23 ↓ -0.22 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.