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Portugal U23 League · PT

Moreirense U23 vs Portimonense U23

01 Sep 2026 · 12:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 39.9%
Draw 26.2%
Away 33.9%

Consensus based on 2 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 6.1 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Moreirense U23 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Moreirense U23 Portimonense U23
Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Moreirense U23 Portimonense U23
Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Moreirense U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Moreirense U23 Portimonense U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Moreirense U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Moreirense U23 ↑ +0.21 (+9.8%)
Portimonense U23 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.367
Shot rating 19
Shots-on-target rating 10
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.