Three Bridges vs Leatherhead

22 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Three Bridges

Leatherhead

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 49.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.25 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 47.3% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Leatherhead has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Three Bridges Leatherhead

Shots 3.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Three Bridges Leatherhead

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.3

Leatherhead has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Three Bridges Leatherhead

The combined recent performance profile favours Leatherhead.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Three Bridges ↑ +0.75 (+30.0%)

Leatherhead ↓ -0.40 (-17.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.