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Paraguay Division Profesional · PY

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu

09 Nov 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Rubio Nu. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.92 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.93. At this price, an away win for Rubio Nu does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Sportivo San Lorenzo
STOCHASTICBET 22.3%
PINNACLE 23.7% odd 4.02
DIFFERENCE -1.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.0%
PINNACLE 26.4% odd 3.61
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Rubio Nu
STOCHASTICBET 51.7%
PINNACLE 49.8% odd 1.92
DIFFERENCE +1.9 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 09 Nov 2026 · 12:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Rubio Nu has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Sportivo San Lorenzo Rubio Nu
Shots 12.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Rubio Nu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Sportivo San Lorenzo Rubio Nu
Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Rubio Nu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Sportivo San Lorenzo Rubio Nu

The combined recent performance profile favours Rubio Nu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-09 13:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.12 pp +0.70 pp
DRAW -0.32 pp -0.76 pp
AWAY +0.44 pp +0.06 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +2.30 pp +2.00 pp
DRAW +0.99 pp +0.11 pp
AWAY -3.29 pp -2.11 pp

Market Agreement: HOME UP · AWAY DOWN

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.