Paraguay Division Profesional · PY

Guarani Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano

30 Aug 2026 · 23:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 42.6%

Draw 29.4%

Away 28.0%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 13.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guarani Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guarani Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Guarani Asuncion has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guarani Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Guarani Asuncion ↓ -0.05 (-2.2%)

Sportivo Ameliano ↑ +0.31 (+9.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.069

Shot rating 6

Shots-on-target rating 2

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.