UD Ibiza vs Real Zaragoza

25 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

UD Ibiza

Real Zaragoza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% 2.46 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 35.0% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UD Ibiza Real Zaragoza

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Real Zaragoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UD Ibiza Real Zaragoza

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UD Ibiza Real Zaragoza

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Zaragoza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

UD Ibiza ↓ -0.24 (-8.9%)

Real Zaragoza ↑ +0.23 (+9.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.