Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Real Zaragoza

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Juventud Torremolinos CF

Real Zaragoza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.0% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 45.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% 3.45 DRAW 29.4% 3.20 AWAY 43.3% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Juventud Torremolinos CF Real Zaragoza

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Real Zaragoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Juventud Torremolinos CF Real Zaragoza

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Juventud Torremolinos CF Real Zaragoza

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Zaragoza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Juventud Torremolinos CF ↑ +0.25 (+7.8%)

Real Zaragoza ↑ +0.06 (+2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.