Real Zaragoza vs Antequera

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Real Zaragoza

Antequera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% 1.56 DRAW 24.7% 3.80 AWAY 15.1% 6.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Zaragoza Antequera

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Real Zaragoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Zaragoza Antequera

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Zaragoza Antequera

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Zaragoza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Real Zaragoza ↓ -0.26 (-14.3%)

Antequera ↑ +2.23 (+55.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.