Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri Sembilan

11 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Johor Darul Takzim

Negeri Sembilan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 96.5% DRAW 2.8% AWAY 0.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 94.5% 1.04 DRAW 4.3% 23.00 AWAY 1.2% 81.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Johor Darul Takzim has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Johor Darul Takzim Negeri Sembilan

Shots 29.0 · On target 16.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Johor Darul Takzim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Johor Darul Takzim Negeri Sembilan

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Johor Darul Takzim has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Johor Darul Takzim Negeri Sembilan

The combined recent performance profile favours Johor Darul Takzim.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Johor Darul Takzim ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

Negeri Sembilan ↑ +60.00 (+285.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.