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Croatia 1.NL · HR

NK Dugopolje vs NK Dubrava Zagreb

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a negligible model-market difference for a home win for NK Dugopolje. The difference is too small to suggest meaningful disagreement.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.62 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.75. At this price, a home win for NK Dugopolje does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
NK Dugopolje
STOCHASTICBET 57.1%
PINNACLE 56.2% odd 1.62
DIFFERENCE +0.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.3%
PINNACLE 24.6% odd 3.70
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY
NK Dubrava Zagreb
STOCHASTICBET 18.6%
PINNACLE 19.2% odd 4.73
DIFFERENCE -0.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 07 Nov 2026 · 23:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: NK Dubrava Zagreb

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Dugopolje NK Dubrava Zagreb
Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Dugopolje NK Dubrava Zagreb
Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Dugopolje NK Dubrava Zagreb

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 10:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.34 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.14 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY -0.20 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.