Orijent vs NK Croatia Zmijavci

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Orijent

NK Croatia Zmijavci

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.24 DRAW 30.0% 3.25 AWAY 26.4% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: NK Croatia Zmijavci

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orijent NK Croatia Zmijavci

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orijent NK Croatia Zmijavci

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5

NK Croatia Zmijavci has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orijent NK Croatia Zmijavci

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Croatia Zmijavci.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Orijent ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

NK Croatia Zmijavci ↑ +0.83 (+28.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.