Pulau Pinang vs Kelantan Red Warrior

12 Sep 2026 · 10:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.0 pp

Pulau Pinang

Kelantan Red Warrior

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.4% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 8.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% 1.37 DRAW 18.4% 5.32 AWAY 10.2% 9.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Pulau Pinang clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 75.4% win probability, compared with 71.4% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pulau Pinang has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pulau Pinang Kelantan Red Warrior

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Pulau Pinang, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pulau Pinang Kelantan Red Warrior

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 8.8

Pulau Pinang has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pulau Pinang Kelantan Red Warrior

The combined recent performance profile favours Pulau Pinang.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pulau Pinang ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Kelantan Red Warrior ↑ +2.38 (+33.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.