Negeri Sembilan vs Imigresen FC

05 Sep 2026 · 10:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Negeri Sembilan

Imigresen FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.5% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% 1.85 DRAW 24.7% 3.90 AWAY 23.5% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Negeri Sembilan relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.5% win probability, compared with 51.9% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Negeri Sembilan

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Negeri Sembilan Imigresen FC

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Negeri Sembilan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Negeri Sembilan Imigresen FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Negeri Sembilan Imigresen FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Negeri Sembilan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Negeri Sembilan ↑ +0.24 (+14.8%)

Imigresen FC ↓ -0.41 (-9.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.