Creteil vs Dieppe

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Creteil

Dieppe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% 2.05 DRAW 28.0% 3.30 AWAY 26.8% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Creteil

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Creteil Dieppe

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Creteil Dieppe

Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Creteil has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Creteil Dieppe

The combined recent performance profile favours Creteil.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Creteil ↓ -0.23 (-10.1%)

Dieppe ↑ +0.56 (+19.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.