Al Wasl SC vs Khor Fakkan

04 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

Al Wasl SC

Khor Fakkan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.5% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 8.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.6% 1.32 DRAW 15.7% 6.12 AWAY 11.8% 8.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Al Wasl SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.5% win probability, compared with 72.6% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Wasl SC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Wasl SC Khor Fakkan

Shots 16.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Wasl SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Wasl SC Khor Fakkan

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 8.3

Al Wasl SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Wasl SC Khor Fakkan

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Wasl SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Wasl SC ↑ +0.11 (+9.0%)

Khor Fakkan ↓ -0.98 (-10.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.