Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain SCC

04 Sep 2026 · 15:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Al Ittihad Kalba

Al Ain SCC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.2% DRAW 10.5% AWAY 83.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.2% 13.20 DRAW 12.0% 7.85 AWAY 80.8% 1.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Ain SCC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.3% win probability, compared with 80.8% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Ain SCC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ain SCC

Shots 14.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 20.0 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Ain SCC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ain SCC

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Ain SCC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ain SCC

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ain SCC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Ittihad Kalba ↑ +1.66 (+14.4%)

Al Ain SCC ↑ +0.02 (+1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.