Lyon Duchere vs Nimes

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Lyon Duchere

Nimes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.3% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 58.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.9% 5.65 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 59.8% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lyon Duchere

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lyon Duchere Nimes

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lyon Duchere Nimes

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lyon Duchere Nimes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Lyon Duchere ↑ +1.32 (+30.4%)

Nimes ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.