Frejus vs Asf Andrezieux

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Frejus

Asf Andrezieux

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.1% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 38.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% 3.10 DRAW 29.3% 3.20 AWAY 40.4% 2.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Asf Andrezieux

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Frejus Asf Andrezieux

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Asf Andrezieux, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Frejus Asf Andrezieux

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Frejus has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Frejus Asf Andrezieux

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Frejus = (0.0%)

Asf Andrezieux ↑ +0.22 (+10.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.