Italy Serie A Women · IT

Ternana (W) vs Fiorentina (W)

08 Nov 2026 · 15:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for Fiorentina (W). The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.58 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.63. At this price, an away win for Fiorentina (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

Ternana (W)

STOCHASTICBET 16.1%

PINNACLE 17.8% odd 5.25

DIFFERENCE -1.6 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 22.3%

PINNACLE 23.1% odd 4.04

DIFFERENCE -0.8 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

Fiorentina (W)

STOCHASTICBET 61.5%

PINNACLE 59.1% odd 1.58

DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Fiorentina (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ternana (W) Fiorentina (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 17.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Fiorentina (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ternana (W) Fiorentina (W)

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Ternana (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ternana (W) Fiorentina (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Fiorentina (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.