Como 1907 (W) vs AC Milan (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Como 1907 (W)

AC Milan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 42.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% 2.98 DRAW 27.2% 3.40 AWAY 41.7% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Milan (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Como 1907 (W) AC Milan (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Como 1907 (W) AC Milan (W)

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Como 1907 (W) AC Milan (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Como 1907 (W) ↑ +0.18 (+6.4%)

AC Milan (W) ↓ -0.18 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.