Verona vs Vicenza

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Verona

Vicenza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.86 DRAW 26.5% 3.66 AWAY 21.4% 4.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Verona

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Verona Vicenza

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Verona Vicenza

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Verona has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Verona Vicenza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Verona ↓ -0.05 (-2.6%)

Vicenza ↑ +0.42 (+10.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.