Verona vs Arezzo

06 Sep 2026 · 17:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Verona

Arezzo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% 1.90 DRAW 28.4% 3.45 AWAY 19.9% 4.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Verona

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Verona Arezzo

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Verona Arezzo

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Verona has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Verona Arezzo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Verona ↑ +0.20 (+11.5%)

Arezzo ↓ -0.06 (-1.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.