Palermo vs Sampdoria

07 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Palermo

Sampdoria

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.1% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 16.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.0% 1.64 DRAW 24.8% 3.90 AWAY 16.2% 5.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Palermo

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Palermo Sampdoria

Shots 16.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Palermo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Palermo Sampdoria

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Sampdoria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Palermo Sampdoria

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Palermo ↓ -0.24 (-13.0%)

Sampdoria ↑ +1.56 (+35.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.