Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
·
ES
UD Ourense vs Ponferradina
29 Aug 2026 · 17:00
MARKET CONSENSUS
Away Lean
Home
29.4%
Draw
29.8%
Away
40.8%
Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 11.0 percentage points.
PERFORMANCE
Ponferradina has the stronger recent profile
The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.
Attack
| UD Ourense | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots / match | 5.5 | 10.0 |
| On target / match | 2.5 | 4.3 |
Defence
| UD Ourense | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots allowed / match | 12.3 | 7.0 |
| On target allowed / match | 5.0 | 4.5 |
Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.
MARKET MOVEMENT
Away strengthening
UD Ourense
↑ +0.85
(+33.5%)
Ponferradina
↓ -0.15
(-5.9%)
The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.
Latest movement from the stored odds trend.
STOCHASTIC VIEW
Quantitative context
Performance4
-0.311
Shot rating
-39
Shots-on-target rating
-9
Qualified model signal
Detected
INTERPRETATION
Away Lean
Market consensus, recent performance and the StochasticBet model point in the same direction.
No direct betting recommendation is generated.