Municipal Limeno vs CD Aguila

10 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Municipal Limeno

CD Aguila

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 34.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% 2.75 DRAW 29.1% 3.25 AWAY 36.6% 2.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Municipal Limeno has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Limeno CD Aguila

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Limeno CD Aguila

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Municipal Limeno has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Limeno CD Aguila

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Municipal Limeno ↓ -0.04 (-1.5%)

CD Aguila ↑ +0.26 (+11.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.