CD Aguila vs Alianza FC

06 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

CD Aguila

Alianza FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 29.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% 2.17 DRAW 27.9% 3.40 AWAY 28.3% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Alianza FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Aguila Alianza FC

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Aguila Alianza FC

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Aguila Alianza FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Aguila ↓ -0.23 (-9.6%)

Alianza FC ↑ +0.74 (+28.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.