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El Salvador Apertura · SV

CD Platense Zacatecoluca vs CD Luis Angel Firpo

25 Oct 2026 · 22:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for CD Luis Angel Firpo. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Goals have arrived regularly, while the defence has generally limited opposing scoring. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.85 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.92. At this price, an away win for CD Luis Angel Firpo does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
CD Platense Zacatecoluca
STOCHASTICBET 23.3%
PINNACLE 25.2% odd 3.64
DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.7%
PINNACLE 25.2% odd 3.63
DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
CD Luis Angel Firpo
STOCHASTICBET 52.0%
PINNACLE 49.6% odd 1.85
DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 25 Oct 2026 · 00:41
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
CD Platense Zacatecoluca CD Luis Angel Firpo
Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 17.5 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Luis Angel Firpo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CD Platense Zacatecoluca CD Luis Angel Firpo
Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CD Platense Zacatecoluca CD Luis Angel Firpo

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Luis Angel Firpo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-25 20:13:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.02 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.19 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.17 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +3.63 pp +1.39 pp
DRAW -0.76 pp +0.01 pp
AWAY -2.87 pp -1.40 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: El Salvador Apertura · 99 matches with scores · 96 with shots · coverage 97.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

CD Platense Zacatecoluca6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWLDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
CD Luis Angel Firpo6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DWWDWW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
−1.88.3 actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
+6.316.5 actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 8.3 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 16.5 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
−0.210.0 actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
−1.09.2 actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 10.0 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 9.2 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
−0.14.0 actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
+3.27.3 actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 4.0 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 7.3 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
−0.63.5 actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
−1.13.0 actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 3.5 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 3.0 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
+0.341.67 actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
+0.672.00 actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 1.67 · league average 1.33 · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 2.00 · league average 1.33 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
+6.8 pp20.0% actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
−1.1 pp12.1% actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 20.0% · league average 13.2% · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 12.1% · league average 13.2% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
CD Platense ZacatecolucaHome team
−1.5 pp11.7% actual
CD Luis Angel FirpoAway team
−5.9 pp7.3% actual
CD Platense Zacatecoluca: 11.7% · league average 13.2% · 6 valid matchesCD Luis Angel Firpo: 7.3% · league average 13.2% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

CD Platense Zacatecoluca · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Away3–210 / 96 / 3
10/10/2026Away4–117 / 117 / 4
04/10/2026Home2–12 / 12 / 1
01/10/2026Away1–28 / 164 / 3
27/09/2026Home0–010 / 133 / 7
20/09/2026Home0–13 / 102 / 3
CD Luis Angel Firpo · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
22/10/2026Home0–019 / 810 / 2
16/10/2026Home2–022 / 78 / 3
11/10/2026Away3–214 / 56 / 2
04/10/2026Away2–215 / 146 / 5
01/10/2026Away3–019 / 910 / 3
27/09/2026Home2–010 / 124 / 3

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.