CD Cacahuatique vs Internacional Santa Tecla

13 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

CD Cacahuatique

Internacional Santa Tecla

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 37.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% 3.35 DRAW 30.5% 3.15 AWAY 40.9% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Cacahuatique relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.4% win probability, compared with 28.7% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Cacahuatique

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Cacahuatique Internacional Santa Tecla

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Cacahuatique Internacional Santa Tecla

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

CD Cacahuatique has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Cacahuatique Internacional Santa Tecla

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Cacahuatique.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CD Cacahuatique ↑ +0.33 (+10.9%)

Internacional Santa Tecla ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.