CD Luis Angel Firpo vs AD Isidro Metapan

14 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo

AD Isidro Metapan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.94 DRAW 25.6% 3.67 AWAY 26.1% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo AD Isidro Metapan

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo AD Isidro Metapan

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo AD Isidro Metapan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Luis Angel Firpo ↑ +0.20 (+10.5%)

AD Isidro Metapan ↓ -0.47 (-12.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.