CD INCA Aruba vs Atlético Balboa

09 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CD INCA Aruba

Atlético Balboa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 43.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.12 DRAW 27.7% 3.34 AWAY 42.6% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Atlético Balboa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD INCA Aruba Atlético Balboa

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD INCA Aruba Atlético Balboa

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Atlético Balboa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD INCA Aruba Atlético Balboa

The combined recent performance profile favours Atlético Balboa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD INCA Aruba ↑ +0.49 (+18.7%)

Atlético Balboa ↓ -0.13 (-5.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.