Sao Joseense vs FC Cascavel

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Sao Joseense

FC Cascavel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.18 DRAW 31.4% 2.90 AWAY 26.9% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Cascavel has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Joseense FC Cascavel

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Cascavel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Joseense FC Cascavel

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

FC Cascavel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Joseense FC Cascavel

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Cascavel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sao Joseense ↑ +0.08 (+3.8%)

FC Cascavel ↑ +0.08 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.