Parana vs FC Cascavel

05 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Parana

FC Cascavel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 28.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.08 DRAW 27.4% 3.40 AWAY 27.8% 3.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Cascavel

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parana FC Cascavel

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Cascavel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parana FC Cascavel

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Parana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parana FC Cascavel

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parana ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

FC Cascavel ↑ +0.23 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.