Londrina vs Sao Joseense

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Londrina

Sao Joseense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 27.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% 2.08 DRAW 27.3% 3.40 AWAY 28.1% 3.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Londrina

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Londrina Sao Joseense

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Londrina, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Londrina Sao Joseense

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.3

Sao Joseense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Londrina Sao Joseense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Londrina ↓ -0.62 (-23.0%)

Sao Joseense ↑ +1.11 (+50.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.